Prediction 321

Duration 23 years (02007-02030)

“That the average level of innovation between 2025 and 2035 exceeds the average level of innovation of the past 5 years (2002-2007.) I suggest using metrics as determined and published by the US Dept of Commerce, Economics & Statistics Administration as developed by the
Measuring Innovation in the 21st Century Economy Advisory Committee (www.innovationmetric.gov) but am open to alternative suggestions.”

Predictor
Sean Park

Challenger
TBA

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Park’s Argument

I subscribe to the theory put forth by Ray Kurzweil in his "Law of Accelerating Returns" and believe that one consequence will be a concomitant acceleration of innovation across all or most fronts of human endeavor, as accelerating technological progress creates a dynamic and positive feedback loop.

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Prediction 321

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