| No. |
Prediction |
Duration |
Predictor |
| 9. |
By 2020, bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event. |
18 years
02002 - 02020 |
Martin Rees |
| 10. |
The Bet: By 2050, we will receive intelligent signals from outside our solar system. |
48 years
02002 - 02050 |
Paul Hawken |
| 13. |
By 2007, the U.S. Government will intervene to prevent at least one of the Incumbent Local Exchange Carriers (ILECs)/Regional Bell Operating Companines (RBOCs) (e.g. Verizon, SBC, Bell South, and EXCEPTING Qwest) from filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. |
5 years
02002 - 02007 |
Andy Chapman |
| 14. |
In 2012, 75 percept of all revenue for enterprise software companies will be from subscription fees rather than license fees. |
10 years
02002 - 02012 |
marc s. sokol |
| 15. |
By 2050 no synthetic computer nor machine intelligence will have become truly self-aware (ie. will become conscious). |
48 years
02002 - 02050 |
Nova Spivack |
| 16. |
That by 2020 a wearable device will be available that will use voice recognition capability and high-volume storage to monitor and index conversations you have or conversations which occur in your vicinity for later searching as supplemental memory. |
18 years
02002 - 02020 |
Gregory W. Webster |
| 22. |
By 2100 a world government will be in place and in control of: business law, environmental law, and weapons of mass destruction. |
98 years
02002 - 02100 |
Colin R. Glassey |
| 26. |
By the end of 2012, more than 50% of the root servers on the internet will be located outside the United States. |
11 years
02002 - 02012 |
Bob Rosenberg |
| 27. |
By the year 2020, the tickets to space travel - at the least to Moon, will be available over the counter. |
18 years
02002 - 02020 |
Hemant Sharma |
| 39. |
Music CDs compatible with current (2002) CD players will still be sold regularly in 2015. |
13 years
02002 - 02015 |
Jacob A. Walker |
| 42. |
That by 2024 "artificial" life emerging somewhere out of the soup of human technology will be given a Latin taxonomic name by biologists and others and declared viable for study. |
22 years
02002 - 02024 |
Bruce F. Damer |
| 43. |
By 2030 all surgical anesthesia will be administered and monitored by computers, with no need for professional medical supervision beyond the surgeon. |
28 years
02002 - 02030 |
Jason I. Altman |
| 44. |
By 2020, in real or artificial life, sustainable evolutionary progress in a genetically closed system will not have been demonstrated. |
18 years
02002 - 02020 |
Brig Klyce |
| 63. |
By 2012 scientists will not have developed an explanation for how images on the Shroud of Turin came to be on the cloth -an explanation that satisfies all of the physical and chemical properties of the images and does not violate basic laws of physics. |
10 years
02002 - 02012 |
Daniel R. Porter |
| 69. |
By the year 2040, AI will appear on computer viruses that will communicate with each other using a universal Internet language and will be programmed to fuse together and mutate into Computer Organs that will later be controlled by powerful search engines (Systems) diffused through out the Internet. |
38 years
02002 - 02040 |
Diogo O. Beltran |
| 70. |
Moore's Law, which has defined a doubling of price/performance/value produced by semi-conductors every 12 to 18 months since 1966, will continue to deliver its exponential benefits for at least another five decades, without stopping or slowing. |
50 years
02002 - 02052 |
Sheldon Renan |
| 76. |
By the year 2020 solar electricity will be as cheap or cheaper than that produced by fossil fuels. |
18 years
02002 - 02020 |
Robert A. Freling |
| 77. |
By 2050, at least two pan-regional currencies, modeled on the Euro, will be used in the world. |
48 years
02002 - 02050 |
Christophe Cauvy |
| 78. |
By 2070, at least six countries will have officially implemented a 4-day working week. |
68 years
02002 - 02070 |
Christophe Cauvy |
| 86. |
By the year 2150, over 50% of schools in the USA or Western Europe will require classes in defending against robot attacks. |
147 years
02002 - 02150 |
Alex K. Rubin |
| 88. |
Major online internet useage research firms will record that over 3 billion people in 2025 managed their incoming and outgoing digital information using a graphical user interface based on Quadrant Theory - as described in Marshall McLuhan's "Tetrad" model in Laws of Media, Ken Wilber's Holon in Sex, Ecology Spirituality, and R Buckminster Fuller's Tetrahedral structures in Synergetics. |
23 years
02002 - 02025 |
Judah Thornewill |
| 92. |
By 2020 a completely propellantless (no material particles expelled for propulsion) or "field propulsion-type" aerospace vehicle will land on the Moon. |
18 years
02002 - 02020 |
jay c. dillon |
| 97. |
Barring an unexpected decline in human numbers from current levels, biodiversity will not reverse its downward trend, air and water pollution will not reverse their increasing trends,(all according to World Resources Institute data) and the WHO will not report a decrease in the percentage of humans with persistent illnesses. |
10 years
02003 - 02013 |
Steven B. Kurtz |
| 105. |
As of March 7th, 2005, Osama bin Laden is dead. |
2 years
02003 - 02005 |
Thomas L. Holaday |
| 106. |
By 2025 at least 50% of all U.S. citizens residing within the United States will have some form of technology embedded in their bodies for the purpose of tracking and identification. |
22 years
02003 - 02025 |
Douglas C. Hewes |
| 110. |
Within 100 years the citizens and companies of a large and prosperous country in excess of 100 million people will no longer pay taxes of any kind. |
100 years
02003 - 02103 |
Robert Thibadeau |
| 112. |
By 2025, at least 25 of the 30 stocks currently in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be dropped from the index and replaced with other companies. |
22 years
02003 - 02025 |
Stephen R. Waite |
| 115. |
By 2100 racism will no longer be a significant phenomenon in most countries of the world. |
97 years
02003 - 02100 |
Bill Moore |
| 118. |
By 2060 the total population of humans on earth will be less than it is today. |
57 years
02003 - 02060 |
Kevin Kelly |
| 119. |
China will be considered a Christian nation, with at least 33% of its residents identifying themselves as Christians, by the year 2085. |
82 years
02003 - 02085 |
Kevin Kelly |
| 121. |
One hundred years from now the world's governments will formally and legally recognize the basic human right of mobility: a person may live anywhere on earth if they agree to obey local laws. |
100 years
02003 - 02103 |
Kevin Kelly |
| 122. |
There will be only three significant currencies used in the world by 2063. More than 95 % of the countries in the world will use one of them. |
60 years
02003 - 02063 |
Kevin Kelly |
| 123. |
Downtown American cities in two hundred years will look pretty much as they do now. |
200 years
02003 - 02203 |
Kevin Kelly |
| 127. |
Microsoft will be have the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company in the world by 2015. |
12 years
02003 - 02015 |
1 future |
| 131. |
DNA Emulation |
? years
02003 - ? |
John S. Washburn |
| 133. |
"Brooke Shields will be be a recipeint of the Kennedy Center Honors for her lifetime contributions to American culture through the performing arts, within the next fifteen years." |
15 years
02003 - 02018 |
Tyrone Boyd |
| 137. |
The Long Bets Foundation will no longer exist in 2104. |
100 years
02003 - 02104 |
Frank Toms |
| 141. |
By 2020, 75% of all incremental new generation will come from renewable/sustainable energy in the U.S. |
17 years
02004 - 02020 |
Jigar Shah |
| 143. |
By the year 2020 the technology will exist that will allow for the "faxing" (teleportation- sending/receiving) of actual inanimate objects, such as text books, clothing, jewelery and the like. |
16 years
02004 - 02020 |
Rob Schnitzer |
| 148. |
By 2006 a single-answer technology other than Google will emerge as the favored answering service and will remain in power for at least two years |
3 years
02004 - 02006 |
John S. Flowers |
| 149. |
US accounting and banking regulations will not require that loan portfolios held in the "banking book" be marked to market before 2024. |
20 years
02004 - 02024 |
Stuart Brannan |
| 163. |
You are immortal |
20 years
02004 - 02024 |
Brendan McAuliffe |
| 164. |
That by 2020 it will be possible and desirable for urban houses to have a room in the house designed for, and dedicated to, producing a household's entire water supply. This will be achievable through condensation (a terarium effect) and using solar panel roof tiles to generate the energy to produce, purify and filter the water. |
16 years
02004 - 02020 |
Michael F. Olliffe |
| 165. |
By 2040 the existence of Qi will be accepted by the mainstream scientists, and Qi research will revolutionize our mechanical scientific TOE into a true TOE. |
36 years
02004 - 02040 |
Datong Assoc |
| 168. |
By 2050 most geologists will agree that most of earth's oil and gas reserves were not produced by decaying plants. |
46 years
02004 - 02050 |
Danny Hillis |
| 172. |
A machine capable of passing the Turing Test will be made in 2075 using only hardware that was available in 2005. |
71 years
02004 - 02075 |
Kevin Kelly |
| 173. |
The concept of time as a linear dimension will be replaced by one of time as a polarity between content and context. |
21 years
02004 - 02025 |
John B. Merryman |
| 175. |
Within two years, at least two or more waterbags, connected by the world's strongest zipper into a train, carrying total of at least one and one half million gallons of fresh water, will be successfully towed from Washington State, under the Golden Gate Bridge into San Francisco Bay, and then south to Santa Monica Bay in Los Angeles. In five years there will be at least one hundred waterbags operating in various locations around the world, connected into trains of two waterbags or more, each train delivering an average of at least five milion gallons of water per delivery from loading points to receiving points throughout the world. |
2 years
02004 - 02006 |
Terry G. Spragg |
| 176. |
Because the Israelis and the Palestinians are fighting as much over the control of water resources as they are fighting over the control of land, waterbag technology will be given credit for being the major economic tool for implementing an interium economic Peace Agreement between Israel and the Palestinian Authority by the year 2007, as is described in the pages from the novel, WATER, WAR AND PEACE, that is featured on the website: www.waterbag.com. |
5 years
02004 - 02009 |
Terry G. Spragg |
| 177. |
By 2010 more than 50 percent of books sold worldwide will be printed on demand at the point of sale in the form of library-quality paperbacks. |
5 years
02005 - 02010 |
Vinton G. Cerf |
| 179. |
By 2010 more than 50 percent of books worldwide will be read on digital devices rather than in print form. |
5 years
02005 - 02010 |
Vinton G. Cerf |
| 180. |
Science fiction author Michael Crichton has predicted the world will warm by 0.81 degrees Celsius by the year 2100.
Thomas Wigley and Sarah Raper ("Interpretation of High Projections for Global-Mean Warming," Science Magazine, Volume 293, 20 July 2001) examined the projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the IPCC's Third Assessment Report (TAR).
Wigley and Raper concluded that the IPCC TAR projections were for a 50/50 chance of 3.06 degrees Celsius of warming from 1990 to 2100.
I predict that the actual warming of the lower troposphere (the atmosphere from roughly zero to 20,000 feet), as measured by satellites, will be closer to Michael Crichton's predicted value of 0.81 degrees Celsius, than the IPCC's value (via Wigley and Raper) of 3.06 degrees Celsius.
In other words, I predict that the actual warming of the lower troposphere from 1990 to 2100, as measured by satellites, will be less than 1.94 degrees Celsius.
Measurements should be done as a 3-year average centered around the year in question (i.e. 1989, 1990 and 1991, compared to 2099, 2100 and 2101).
My bet is only open to members of the IPCC. |
97 years
02005 - 02101 |
Mark A. Bahner |
| 181. |
I predict that my projections for methane atmospheric concentrations, industrial carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and atmospheric concentrations, and resultant lower tropospheric temperatures will be more accurate than those found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC's) Third Assessment Report (TAR).
The following are my (MB) projections and the IPCC TAR projections for methane atmospheric concentrations (in ppb, worth 1 point), industrial CO2 emissions (in Gigatons as carbon, worth 1 point), CO2 atmospheric concentrations (in ppm, worth 1 point) and lower tropospheric temperature increases (in degrees Celsius relative to 1990, worth 3 points). The projections are for the years 2030, 2070, and 2100.
2030, MB: 1790, 8.8, 425, 0.36
2030, IPCC: 2060, 13.2, 438, 0.80
2070, MB: 1825, 7.0, 527, 0.82
2070, IPCC: 2300, 16.4, 610, 2.17
2100, MB: 1840, 4.0, 558, 1.20
2100, IPCC: 2450, 16.4, 720, 3.06
Lower tropospheric temperatures are as measured by satellite, in a 3-year average around the year in question (e.g. 2030 would be 2029, 2030, 20310. This bet is only open to members of the IPCC. |
97 years
02005 - 02101 |
Mark A. Bahner |
| 194. |
The world per-capita GDP in the year 2000 was approximately $7,200. The world per-capita GDP (in year 2000 dollars) will exceed $13,000 in the year 2020, $31,000 in 2040, $130,000 in 2060, $1,000,000 in 2080, and $10,000,000 in 2100. |
96 years
02005 - 02100 |
Mark A. Bahner |
| 195. |
A March 2004 article stated: "More than 3.5 billion years after nature transformed non-living matter into living things, populating Earth with a cornucopia of animals and plants, scientists say they are finally ready to try their hand at creating life. . . It is a dream long pursued by scientists who now believe that it may be possible to create the first artificial unit of life in the next 5 to 10 years." See: http://www.deeperwants.com/cul1/homeworlds/journal/archives/002191.html
My prediction is that artificial life; i.e., life from non-life, will not be created in a laboratory. |
16 years
02005 - 02020 |
Rodney T. Small |
| 196. |
I predict that global warming denialists such as MIT professor Richard Lindzen will be shown to be wrong over the next 20 years as global warming continues. Specifically, I believe the scientific consensus that temperatures are likely to increase by .3 degrees Celsius over the next 20 is more accurate than the Lindzen/denialist position that temperatures are as likely to decrease as increase. Choosing a prediction that is halfway between the consensus and the denialist viewpoints, I predict that temperatures will increase by at least .15 degrees Celsius from 2005 to 2025. This bet is open to anyone who wants to accept it. |
20 years
02005 - 02025 |
Brian A. Schmidt |
| 200. |
Within 5 years all power plants will be converted to full-spectrum laser-fired---all oil/gas/coal/nuclear power plants will be obsolete and retired. |
4 years
02005 - 02010 |
Carla Hein |
| 204. |
In 2009, WinFX will be the dominant API for application development on all major PC platforms. |
2 years
02005 - 02007 |
Carl K. Lumma |
| 205. |
Google will face antitrust proceedings from the DOJ or a challenge to a merger or acquisition by the FTC. |
4 years
02005 - 02009 |
Rudy Rouhana |
| 207. |
By 2150 faster than light propulsion theory will become realized, but not implemented, either through black holes, worm holes or space time warping. |
145 years
02005 - 02150 |
Gary G. Cassel |
| 208. |
The International Panel on Climate Change's Fifth Assessment Report will conclude it is likely, or more than likely, that human-caused global warming has increased hurricane intensity in the 1995-2005 time period. |
18010 years
02005 - 20015 |
Brian A. Schmidt |
| 211. |
If the next president of the USA will be a democrat and/or a female, the US's anual GPD growth, major Wall Street share indices (Dow Jones, NASDAQ comp.) by the end of the term in 2012 will be higher, unemployment rate lower than now. The death toll of US soldiers in foreign countries and the numbers of terror attacks in western countries will be lower. |
7 years
02005 - 02012 |
Daniel M. Wigger |
| 214. |
The People's Republic of China will successfuly place a living human on the surface of Mars before any other nation. |
? years
02005 - ? |
Jeff J. Jonas |
| 216. |
There will be a 'commercial-free', premium internet service offering by a relatively unknown company within 10 years. |
10 years
02005 - 02015 |
Robert Frates |
| 217. |
Within the next 5 years, Google employees will become dissatisfied, and kick-start a new wave of new technology and prosperity in Silicon Valley. |
5 years
02005 - 02010 |
Juli Mallett |
| 218. |
I predict that we will be in a full fledged ice age by 2100. I predict that before that we will see volcanic activity that produces more CO2, irridium, and CH4 than mankind could imagine. We will have massive increases in snowfall and sea level first, followed by falling sea levels as the glaciers increase. |
15 years
02005 - 02020 |
james w. walter |
| 219. |
I predict that this year will have the greatest snowfall on record, worldwide |
2 years
02005 - 02008 |
james w. walter |
| 223. |
By 2015, standardized tests for high school students in every state of the United States will directly evaluate students' understanding of the differences between scientific laws, scientific theories and the kinds of things often called theories outside the scientific community. |
10 years
02005 - 02015 |
Kathleen A. Hansen |
| 225. |
Many types of cancer will be treated effectively with biofeedback coupled with imaging techniques, such as fMRI. |
8 years
02005 - 02013 |
Hugh B. Grant |
| 226. |
By the end of 2024 there will be a Single Global Currency managed by a Global Central Bank within a Global Monetary Union.(3-G's) This currency will be legal tender in countries which comprise at least 51% of the world's GDP. |
19 years
02006 - 02024 |
morrison m. bonpasse |
| 239. |
By 2040, at least 40% of Americans making to age 65 will live to age 100. |
34 years
02006 - 02040 |
Elna R. Tymes |
| 240. |
By 2012, scientists will have announced a cure for breast cancer and mastectomies will have become almost obsolete |
7 years
02006 - 02012 |
Susan Smith |
| 241. |
The End of State Sovereignty: By 2030, some form of international federation or global governmental structure will emerge that can exercise ultimate authority over world affairs. |
24 years
02006 - 02029 |
Mike Treder |
| 243. |
An all-new Star Wars film will be released to theatres this century. |
95 years
02006 - 02100 |
Michael P. Strenski |
| 244. |
Steve Jobs will be nominated for Presdident of the United States, by one of the two major political parties in 2012. |
6 years
02006 - 02012 |
Tyrone Boyd |
| 246. |
The world will not reach 'Peak Oil' by 2010.
I have invited Jeremy Leggett, a champion of the peak oil concept and author of "Half gone: oil, gas, hot air and the global energy crisis", to bet against this prediction. |
4 years
02006 - 02010 |
Clive D. Bates |
| 252. |
By year 2036, there will be at least 1 man alive in the U.S. who has fathered 150 children. |
? years
02006 - ? |
Baris Karadogan |
| 257. |
Hydrocarbon fuels will be the "fuel of choice" for personal transportation for the next 50 years |
50 years
02006 - 02056 |
John T. Hoagland |
| 259. |
Within a decade Wal-Mart (WMT) shares cease to be listed on the NYSE as a result bankruptcy, being taken over/private, or being delisted by the exchange. |
10 years
02006 - 02016 |
Michael Kreusch |
| 262. |
By the year 2050, there will be at least 1 green autotrophic person on the Earth... |
44 years
02006 - 02050 |
Emre Sokullu |
| 266. |
There will be a quantum computer with over 100 qubits of processing capability sold either as a hardware system or whose use is made available as a commercial service by Dec 31, 2010 |
4 years
02006 - 02010 |
brian wang |
| 267. |
By 2010, the use of dial-up modems will represent less than 5 percent of all Internet access (represented as a percentage of all households) in the United States. As part of this prediction, I expect that at that time, dial-up service will cost significantly more than the slowest alternative, which will be substantially faster than dial-up. |
3 years
02006 - 02010 |
Glenn I. Fleishman |
| 270. |
By 2025, more than 50% of desktop computers in the world will be running an open-source operating system. |
18 years
02006 - 02025 |
Adam Dingle |
| 282. |
THE world?s slowest concert, which began on September 5, 2001 and which is scheduled to take 639 years, will still be performed at its half-time interval, wich is planned for the year 2319. |
313 years
02007 - 02319 |
Imre Bondar |
| 283. |
I predict that our civilization will survive until at least 2100. |
93 years
02007 - 02100 |
John Tierney |
| 284. |
By 2025, the very first human being will be cloned and this event will be accepted by the most people. |
18 years
02007 - 02025 |
JOSE LUIS L. SEGOVIA |
| 285. |
By the year 2035 non-invasive devices will allow us to interface with the internet (including accessing information in a similar sense to recalling memories) using electro-stimulus from neuron signals. |
28 years
02007 - 02035 |
Myles A. Kellam |
| 287. |
Within two generations, the Iranian people will become an anchor of freedom for the middle east. |
8 years
02007 - 02015 |
Russell A. Mitchell |
| 289. |
Long Bets
RCH #2: By 2030
The Prediction:
The great contest of the 21st century ? the individual vs. society and the state ? will progress much past my 2020 Long Bets Prediction of effective computerized individual citizen profiling, with the full maturation of the nascent, but extremely promising studies of brain, mind and personality as revealed by the many different brain scanning devices now being intensively studied and developed.
These scans - and their related psychologic, psychiatric, and sociologic fields interpreting them and giving them function ? will gain great utility as the ultimate lie detectors. But they will go much beyond the simple lie detector in that they will reveal the workings of the mind in such a way that the mind will be made malleable and reshapable in manners currently thought inconceivable (see my Long Bets Prediction #3). |
23 years
02007 - 02030 |
Robert C. Hiemstra |
| 295. |
By 2020, historians will agree that the the start of the 21st century also marked the beginning of the "Second" or "New Renaissance." |
13 years
02007 - 02020 |
Zeus Jones |
| 296. |
Until 2020 first effective and efficient meta entities (services, individuals, inventions) which are able to integrate and balance all main aspects/elements of civilization according to AQAL will be fully functional and consequently start to build functional civilization (absence of war, sustainable energy and information chains) |
13 years
02007 - 02020 |
Lukas Atao |
| 297. |
China will break apart by 2030 |
23 years
02007 - 02029 |
Chris Kakris |
| 310. |
By 2025, products of artistic activity will no longer been treated as autonomous, transcendent, intrinsically value-laden objects and artists will recognize themselves as operating within social, political, economic, and cultural frameworks which directly influence the conferred value of their artistic creations. |
18 years
02007 - 02025 |
Sarah S |
| 312. |
Turkey will join the European Union and become a model for a Democratic Islamic State and lead the way for advancing relations between the Islamic world and "Western World" |
11 years
02007 - 02018 |
Séamus P. Dunne |
| 317. |
No human will set his or her foot on Mars and return safely to earth before 2050. |
42 years
02007 - 02049 |
Joerg W. Schwieder |
| 321. |
That the average level of innovation between 2025 and 2035 exceeds the average level of innovation of the past 5 years (2002-2007.) I suggest using metrics as determined and published by the US Dept of Commerce, Economics & Statistics Administration as developed by the
Measuring Innovation in the 21st Century Economy Advisory Committee (www.innovationmetric.gov) but am open to alternative suggestions. |
23 years
02007 - 02030 |
Sean Park |
| 325. |
Science believes consciousness descends from matter; religion believes matter descends from consciousness. Both propositions will be discovered to false within 50 years. |
50 years
02007 - 02057 |
Dan Gregerson |
| 328. |
No substantial departure from the standard model of elementary particle physics will be discovered in experiments by the year 2015. `Substantial' departures include supersymmetry, extra dimensions of space-time, techni-color models of Higgs bosons, and compositeness of quarks and gluons but NOT additional Higgs bosons, families of particles or neutrino masses. Theoretical advances in understanding the hierarchy problem are not `substantial' experimental departures in this sense, but can lead to profound new understanding. |
8 years
02007 - 02015 |
S. G. RAJEEV |
| 339. |
Immortal mice by 2015 |
7 years
02008 - 02015 |
Tor T. Liimatainen |
| 341. |
By 2061 science and technology will meet all the essential requirements for interstellar space travel based on the embryo space colonization concept; the core element of this prediction is the cryopreservation of human embryos allowing them to survive for a very long time. |
53 years
02008 - 02061 |
Matthias Brust-Braun |
| 343. |
Patents will be abolished by at least two leading economies within the next 20 years for all areas except pharmaceuticals. |
15 years
02008 - 02023 |
Joerg W. Schwieder |
| 345. |
Self-replicating manufacturing machines will be commonplace by 2020. |
12 years
02008 - 02020 |
Adrian Bowyer |
| 346. |
The U.S. will not pull all of its troops out of Iraq until the 10 largest corporations in the U.S. use their influence to make it happen. I don't see this as a possibility until after Nov. 9, 2010 the next mid-term elections. |
3 years
02008 - 02010 |
Barry J. Benjamin |
| 347. |
Roe v. Wade will not celebrate a 50th anniversary. |
15 years
02008 - 02023 |
Jason W. Galbraith |
| 351. |
One or more space agencies will send a manned mission to Mars by 2035. |
27 years
02008 - 02035 |
Predictify Crowd |
| 354. |
In 2010 more diesel passenger vehicles will be sold in the US than hybrids. |
3 years
02008 - 02011 |
Martin G. Tobias |
| 358. |
The hiding function works. |
10 years
02008 - 02018 |
Engelman Laura |
| 363. |
By 2018 the € will not be the legal currency of France, Italy and Germany. |
11 years
02008 - 02018 |
Christoph M. Stahl |
| 371. |
On or before 8 June 2030, there will exist a computer language or programming system in which the prototypical first program, traditionally called "Hello, world!", will have an executable file whose size exceeds 1 gigabyte. |
22 years
02008 - 02030 |
Wayne B. Hayes |
| 377. |
There will be a casino on the moon by 2040. |
32 years
02008 - 02040 |
Online Casino Reports |
| 388. |
Hurricanes in Florida will be less in 2005-2015, than the average of the preceding three decades |
6 years
02008 - 02014 |
Jack Scherer |
| 403. |
Computers will become intelligent within my "lifetime" (or 50 years which ever is longer) |
50 years
02008 - 02058 |
Jonathan M. Rothberg |
| 404. |
By 2015 the majority of people who make predictions on this site will have had their genomes sequenced. |
7 years
02008 - 02015 |
Jonathan M. Rothberg |
| 405. |
By 2011 a mother will have the entire genome sequence of her unborn child from her own blood. |
3 years
02008 - 02011 |
Jonathan M. Rothberg |
| 409. |
By the end of the 2016 Olympic Games, swimmer Michael Phelps will be convicted for doping at the 2008 Olympic Games. |
8 years
02008 - 02016 |
Florian Kunze |
| 423. |
I predict that THE HUMAN KNOWLEDGE MINDMAP will become the globally dominant knowledge paradigm by the year 2100. |
92 years
02008 - 02100 |
William P. Sheridan |
| 425. |
By 2025, new astronomical observations and theories will render the Big Bang an untenable explanation for the origin of the Universe. |
16 years
02008 - 02025 |
Rogier M. Sluimers |
| 426. |
In the year 2050, there will not be an operating fusion power plant -- a device that generates net energy via a nuclear fusion reaction and transmits it to the electrical grid -- anywhere in the world. |
42 years
02008 - 02050 |
Charles G. Seife |
| 427. |
By 2025, Albert Einstein's theory of relativity will be considered an untenable explanation for light and gravity by a majority of scientists. |
16 years
02008 - 02025 |
Rogier M. Sluimers |
| 429. |
By 2025, Quantum field theory will no longer be part of The Standard Model of particle physics. |
16 years
02008 - 02025 |
Rogier M. Sluimers |
| 430. |
By 2025, The giant impact hypothesis will no longer be the dominant scientific hypothesis for the formation of the Moon. |
16 years
02008 - 02025 |
Rogier M. Sluimers |
| 431. |
By 2025, Stellar nucleosynthesis will no longer be considered as the main source of heat and light of stars by a majority of scientists. |
16 years
02008 - 02025 |
Rogier M. Sluimers |
| 432. |
By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model. |
16 years
02008 - 02025 |
Rogier M. Sluimers |
| 433. |
advances in personal aviation will cause the cost of land in big sur, ca and other remote areas within 250mi of major metropolitan cities to at least triple within the next 15 years - outperforming the s&p 500 over that period. |
15 years
02008 - 02023 |
matt oesterle |
| 436. |
2007 will be the historical peak year for US energy-related CO2 emissions. |
? years
02008 - ? |
David C. Douglas |
| 437. |
The Iraqi Dinar will revalue, and reach a value of 3 Dinars per 1 U.S. dollar, or better, by November 6/2013. Currently, as of November 6/08, the exchange rate is 1176 Iraqi Dinars, per U.S. dollar. |
5 years
02008 - 02013 |
Tim Wiebe |
| 438. |
The End of Wheels: A country or state will ban the use of wheeled vehicles by private consumers on high capacity public roads. |
42 years
02008 - 02050 |
Saul Kato |
