The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes. more »
Featured Bet
Duration 5 years (02002-02007)
Predictor
Dave Winer
Challenger
Martin Nisenholtz
Stakes $2,000
Congratulations to Dave and his preferred charity,
The World Wide Web Consortium (www.w3.org), which will receive the stakes!
Featured Prediction
Duration 57 years (02003-02060)
Predictor
Kevin Kelly
Challenger
Challenge Kelly to a bet!