Bet 200
"Within 5 years all power plants will be converted to full-spectrum laser-fired---all oil/gas/coal/nuclear power plants will be obsolete and retired."
Prediction 200
Duration 4 years (02005-02010)
Predictor
Carla Hein
Challenger
TBA
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We have yet to find a manufacturer who will produce a full-spectrum laser at 50,000 degrees F. and up. A base pair-to-base pair, electron/photon interface would have no material crystals/vapors/gasses to interfere with the fission/fusion interface. The sun is a huge electrical generator that emits photons and the electron/photon principal should work anywhere.
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"Within 5 years all power plants will be converted to full-spectrum laser-fired---all oil/gas/coal/nuclear power plants will be obsolete and retired."
Five years is awfully quick for all power plants in even a small country to do anything. But, beyond that, I can't tell what technology this bet is describing. Can we get more information about it?
While LASER-based power coupling for fission/fusion is technologically feasible (if currently impractical and non-producible) it is highly unlikely that such developments will occur nationwide in ANY country by 2010, as construction for such facilities, if the technology were fully developed and regulated today, would still take the better part of a decade, while other forms of power would certainly continue to function.
I find it unrealistic to believe that a laser-contained fusion energy project will ever be feasible, but am absolutely POSITIVE that this program will certainly not occur by 2010.
- Alex C. Nielsen
The cost in converting a nation's power plants in this way, even if we had a definitely more efficient method of generating power that could be used in place of all of the current plants, would absolutely prevent the kind of program you're describing. Even if cost wasn't an issue, bureaucracies move a lot slower than you seem to think they do.
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