Bet 287

Duration 8 years (02007-02015)

“Within two generations, the Iranian people will become an anchor of freedom for the middle east.”

PREDICTOR
Russell A Mitchell

CHALLENGER
Unchallenged

Mitchell's Argument

TThe spectre of Shia Islam dominating the middle east will come crashing to a halt when organic regime change occurs in Iran. The Iranian people by and large are not interested in Shia Empire -- if anything, their interest is in factors the west finds highly congenial, and the political class in the "upper middle" stands to greatly benefit from the economic benefits of liberalizing Iranian politics.

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