Prediction 317
“No human will set his or her foot on Mars and return safely to earth before 2050.â€
Prediction 317
Duration 42 years (02007-02049)
Predictor
Joerg W. Schwieder
Challenger
TBA
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Even though it proved to be straightforward and easy to go to the moon within less than 9 years it will be a very different undertaking to go to Mars for several reasons:
(1) The only reason, as we can see it today, to do this is just for the sake of it, there is no economical or technological and very little scientific gain of any kind.
(2) There is not competition between nations today or in the foreseeable future that is even remotely as strong as during the cold war, so there is also little political gain.
(3) Even though the technological barriers can be solved and it might even be possible to do the trip with today's technology (if you are prepared to spend enough), the physiological and psychological challenges to humans going on a round trip that lasts 12 to 18 months without any chance of intervention or abort and with limited communication to the earth during parts of the mission are poorly understood and will dramatically increase the cost of this undertaking, making it even less feasible.
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“No human will set his or her foot on Mars and return safely to earth before 2050.â€
“No human will set his or her foot on Mars and return safely to earth before 2050.â€
Mars has plenty of gravity, but no atmosphere to speak of. The best technology for getting off of the service of Mars in 2050 will probably still be a chemical rocket with its own supply of oxygen. That's heavy stuff, and it would all have to be landed more or less intact on the Mars surface. I don't see it happening.
I not am assured that people on the moon were 50 years ago. To speak about Mars in general I consider as nonsense
What is the point of such a hazardous journey? Send a robot.
It is unlikely that a human will step on the moon again before 2050!
As far as I know the only went there 39 years ago...
No human will depart for Mars before 2050.
We know how to build ICBMs. There's no reason to spend all that dough. Just master low earth orbit and your country can hurl a nuke anywhere on earth, and everyone will know it.
If science is the goal the money would be better spent on unmanned probes and telescopes.
There is nothing we want so bad on Mars that we can't send robots to get it. We have no reason to invest in the technology to get us to Mars and back, so it won't happen�even though we could get someone there and back if we focused all of our resources on doing so.
When there's a will there's a way provided there's enough money and technology to back it, NASA has all of these and the American public will be redriven into space craze once again when a challenging country turns up, if I had to choose it will be America with small help form Australia and England against China, the former will win.
Perhaps people will go to Mars and stay there, that would make it cheaper.
At this point I think it is safe to assume we could get people to Mars, though it might take a few tries. We could probably keep them alive there for awhile too. Maybe a few intrepid explorers might be willing to go on a one way trip.
That may sound crazy, but I don't think there is really a rational reason to send humans to Mars anyway. The only reason to send people at all is for the romance of exploration.
Getting humans to Mars would be our first step to becoming a level 3 civilization. I think it's worth trying for, just in case intelligent life is more rare then estimated. If intelligent life is special, why not do what we can do preserve or advance it? And besides, where will all of the politicians and scientists go when earth is no longer habitable? lol
The only reason, as we can see it today, to do this is just for the sake of it, there is no economical or technological and very little scientific gain of any kind.
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