Prediction 346
The U.S. will not pull all of its troops out of Iraq until the 10 largest corporations in the U.S. use their influence to make it happen. I don't see this as a possibility until after Nov. 9, 2010 the next mid-term elections.
Prediction 346
Duration 3 years (02008-02010)
Predictor
Barry J. Benjamin
Challenger
TBA
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The Iraq war is a major cultural, financial, societal and spiritual negative in our short term future. The forces keeping us there have nothing to do with the will of the people and everything to do with major corporations ability to make profits for their shareholders. Without the corporations backing we will continue on this path until they determine it is bad for business to be in Iraq. Who would challenge this?
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The U.S. will not pull all of its troops out of Iraq until the 10 largest corporations in the U.S. use their influence to make it happen. I don't see this as a possibility until after Nov. 9, 2010 the next mid-term elections.
but not because America's 10 largest corporations are making money hand over fist out of the Iraq war. The principal contractors in Iraq are in fact not among the 10 largest American corporations. The principal oil companies will make a surplus profit as long as the Iraqis are blowing up their own oil infrastructure to hurt us. Therefore those companies do have an incentive to try to keep us in Iraq. I voted with the predictor because it will be militarily unsafe to withdraw all the forces we presently have in Iraq in less than 2 years and the withdrawal will not begin until the next President is sworn in.
These are the Fortune500 Top 10. How are they going to use their influence to make us withdraw from Iraq?
1. Wal-Mart Stores
2. Exxon Mobil
3. Chevron
4. General Motors
5. ConocoPhillips
6. General Electric
7. Ford Motor
8. Citigroup
9. Bank of America
10. AT&T
What if we withdraw from Iraq before Nov 9, 2010, but not because of the influence of the 10 largest corporations? How would we know if their influence was what caused us to withdraw?
This bet is unclear. It should be revised or deleted.
I agree with Austin. As stated, the prediction appears to be impossible to prove. Even if these corporations held a joint press conference and demanded troop withdrawal, it would be hard to make a direct connection between said press conference and the withdrawal.
The idea that corporations would take a stance on an issue like this is fairly preposterous. Your average large corporation has much more to lose than gain by getting involved in an issue that does not directly involve their industry.
The bet is certainly unclear, how can you believe that you would ever know what role these companies play in the decision making of the government? By money donated? By press conferences? By editorials?
Also, if you honestly think that the 10 largest companies in the US have that much influence on what is primarily a Military decision (as it is possible to have troops in forts in a country without officially being in a war), you're kidding yourself on the power of corporations. I'm not saying they don't play a huge role in our government's business, but come on.
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