Prediction 354

Duration 3 years (02008-02011)

“In 2010 more diesel passenger vehicles will be sold in the US than hybrids.”

Predictor
Martin G. Tobias

Challenger
TBA

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Tobias’s Argument

Diesel is proven technology. With the introduction of ULSD in 2007 now the US can fuel the advanced clean diesels that are already made in Europe. Diesels get 30% better mileage than the same internal combustion engine and last longer. The uplift for diesel is less than the uplift for hybrid drive train. No battery replacement issues. Diesels will kick hybrids ass.

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Correct prediction wrong time scale

Posted by Jack Scherer on Jul 08, 02008 at 07:19PM

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