Phelps is a mutant
In a good way. He don't need no dope.
Prediction 409
Duration 8 years (02008-02016)
Predictor
Florian Kunze
Challenger
TBA
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Michael Phelbs is an exceptional athlete and I hold him in high esteem. Nevertheless I am sceptical about his achievements at the 2008 Olympic Games. In seven events, Michael Phelps has set six world records en route to earning seven gold medals. The overall summary of 23 world- and 24 europe-records in swimming leads me to the conviction that there are currently ways and means of doping that are not traceable by now. The International Doping Comitee anounced that all blood samples from 2008 will be frozen and can be used for further tests if new ways for the detection of specific doping substances are developed. Those samples can be used for eight years. Surely, eight years will be enough to develop techniques for dectecting the substances Phelps and probably most of his collegues have used.
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There were a number of Olympic and World records broken at this Olympic games in swimming competitions. Often second and third place finishers broke the old records too. There are apparently a couple reasons for this:
1. Speedo developed some new swimming suits that benefit swimmers. The gear was worn by many competitors and was considered legal.
2. The Chinese pool was deeper than usual and apparently this benefits swimmers as well.
So there are at least a couple sufficient explanations for the improved times. As you've pointed out, no one can currently say if any swimmers were using illicit substances. I don't think doping is required to explain the exceptional times recorded this year, so Occam's razor would have us ignore it.
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