Kevin Kelly (kevin)

I am a co-founder of this service.

Bets & Predictions that Kellys' placed

No.BetDurationStakesPredictorChallenger
118.

By 02060 the total population of humans on earth will be less than it is today.

 53 years
02017-02070 		$400
$200

Kevin Kelly

Jernej Mlakar
119.

China will be considered a Christian nation, with at least 33% of its residents identifying themselves as Christians, by the year 2085.

 82 years
02003-02085 		$2,000
$1,000

Kevin Kelly
120.

By 2025 the scientific evidence of a hither-to-unknown large bi-pedal great ape will be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists.

 22 years
02003-02025 		$800
$400

Kevin Kelly

Stewart Brand
121.

One hundred years from now the world's governments will formally and legally recognize the basic human right of mobility: a person may live anywhere on earth if they agree to obey local laws.

 100 years
02003-02103

Kevin Kelly
122.

There will be only three significant currencies used in the world by 2063. More than 95 % of the countries in the world will use one of them.

 60 years
02003-02063 		$500
$250

Kevin Kelly

James N Rose
123.

Downtown American cities in two hundred years will look pretty much as they do now.

 200 years
02003-02203 		$400
$200

Kevin Kelly

. . .
172.

A machine capable of passing the Turing Test will be made in 2075 using only hardware that was available in 2005.

 71 years
02004-02075

Kevin Kelly

Bets & Predictions Kellys' challenged

Predictions that Kelly has challenged.

No.BetDurationStakesPredictorChallenger
70.

Moore's Law, which has defined a doubling of price/performance/value produced by semi-conductors every 12 to 18 months since 1966, will continue to deliver its exponential benefits for at least another five decades, without stopping or slowing.

 50 years
02002-02052

Sheldon Renan
623.

In ten years, people will be watching more live video than pre-recorded.

 10 years
02012-02022

Steven Levy